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I would agree with your assessment.
Yeah it was not spinning excessively or anything like that, no shock load I would have definately noticed that. I don't do drag launches or anything like that usually rolling before I hammer the throttle. It's going to get a trutrac no more spiders and friction modifires to worry about.This macroview appears most likely suspect. I didn't seen unusual tooth surface wear or galling indicative of overheating / over differentiating (tire spinning), nor wear on the bearing bore. If it were overloaded by shock, one would also expect to see shock impact on the tooth profile. I didn't see any.
A microscopic examination of the fractures would be useful to see if porosity is present, or contaminant inclusions, that exceed the ASTM limits for the material.
I DITTO your DITTO.^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ DITTO ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^